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粮食价格是百价之基,粮价涨跌影响着经济民生的方方面面。其不仅影响农民的收益、粮企的利润,还关系着国家粮食安全和社会的和谐稳定。本文主要通过对湖南2001年至2011年的粮食价格、农民收入和CPI等数据进行研究,分析粮食价格的走势特征、主要影响因素;同时,通过建立多元线性回归模型,分析粮食价格与农民收入、CPI的计量关系,并在此基础上提出相关政策建议,以期对调控粮食价格、促进粮食生产起到一定的参考作用。
The price of grain is the basis of the price of 100%, and the price of foodstuffs affects all aspects of economic livelihood. It not only affects the income of farmers, the profits of grain enterprises, but also the relationship between national food security and social harmony and stability. This paper mainly studies the grain price, farmer’s income and CPI data from 2001 to 2011 in Hunan Province, analyzes the trend characteristics of grain prices and the main influencing factors. At the same time, through establishing a multiple linear regression model, the paper analyzes the relationship between grain prices and farmer’s income, CPI measurement relations, and on this basis, put forward relevant policy recommendations, with a view to regulating grain prices and promote food production play a certain reference.