论文部分内容阅读
首先作者介绍了平衡增长论的几种主要论点如下;罗森斯坦-罗丹认为:一笔投资的“社会边际产品”时常不同于它的“私人边际产品”,而且当一批工业部门按照它们的“社会边际产品”统盘加以计划时,这个经济的增长率要比不如此计划时来得大些;努克西的论点是:假若在某一地区内有若干工厂同时营运时,那么它们之中每一个厂不能销售产品的风险要比任何一个企业单独开业的风险小一些。他把这种有着广泛工业部门的情势称之为“平衡的增长”;路易士要求平衡增长的理由有二:(1)当经济扩张时,不同部门生产品的相对价格应保持不变,俾使任何部门的扩张,不致受到不利于它的交换条件的变动的阻碍;(2)不同部门的扩张,须与对其产品的需求的收入弹性相适应,以避免经济扩张时产生任何严重的“瓶颈”。其次,作者提出自己的平衡增长论的论点说:假若至少有某些投资,它们的“社会边际产品”大于或小于它们的“私人边际产品”,如果在这个经济中没有有关当局就彼此关系来全盘考虑所有的投资建议,那么纯国民产品的增长率就要出有计划当局的情况下慢些。最后作者对平衡增长论的批评家(鲍尔、耶梅、希尔西曼、斯特里顿、金特尔伯格)加以批判,并指出不平衡增长的说法是不能令人信服的。
First, the author introduces several main arguments for balanced growth theory as follows; Rosenstein-Rodin argues that the “marginal social product” of an investment often differs from its “private marginal product” and that when a group of industrial sectors follow their When the “social marginal product” was planned in its entirety, the economic growth rate would have been higher than that of the non-planned economy. Nuksi’s argument was: If there are several factories in a certain area operating at the same time, then among them The risk that each plant can not sell the product is less risky than the opening of any one company. He called this situation with a wide range of industrial sectors “balanced growth.” There are two reasons for Louis’s claim for balanced growth: (1) when the economy expands, the relative prices of the products of different sectors should remain unchanged, (2) The expansion of different sectors should be compatible with the income elasticity of demand for their products in order to avoid any serious “economic downturn” in the expansion of the economy. bottleneck“. Second, the author’s argument for his own theory of equilibrium growth states that if at least some investments have ”social marginal products“ that are larger or smaller than their ”private marginal products" and if they have no relevant authorities in the economy Taking all investment proposals into account, the growth rate of purely national products should be slower with the planned authorities. In the end, the author criticizes the critics of balanced growth theory (Bauer, Yemey, Hillisman, Stratton, and Kinderberg) and points out that the argument of unbalanced growth is unconvincing.