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作者通过筛选,建立了以黑线姬鼠带毒鼠密度预报11月至翌年2月流行性出血热(EHF)发病率的数学模型,并进行了前瞻性验证,认为该公式适用于具有秋冬峰的EHF疫区。
Through screening, the author established a mathematical model to predict the incidence of epidemic hemorrhagic fever (EHF) from November to February of the next year with the rodent density of Apodemus agrarius and prospectively verified that the formula is suitable for the diagnosis of epidemic hemorrhagic fever with fall and winter peaks EHF outbreaks.