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为了有效地识别、分析、减小和控制某新型舰艇研制风险,在明确风险管理的过程和处理方法的基础上,通过对某新型舰艇研制程序的分析,从技术风险、人为风险、进度风险和费用风险四个方面构建了某新型舰艇研制风险管理评估指标体系,基于模糊风险分析评估法对某新型舰艇研制风险管理进行了评估。实例分析验证,某新型舰艇研制的风险相对很高,需要在技术风险、人为决策等方面进行很好的风险预防和控制。
In order to identify, analyze, reduce and control the risk of a new type of naval vessel effectively, based on the clear process and method of risk management and through the analysis of a new type of naval vessel research and development program, this paper analyzes the technical risk, man-made risk, Cost risk of four aspects of building a new naval development risk management evaluation index system, based on the fuzzy risk assessment method for a new type of ship development risk management were assessed. The example analysis shows that the risk of a new type of ship is relatively high, which requires good risk prevention and control in technical risk and man-made decision-making.