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探讨风险定量分析在中亚天然气管道管理中有效运用的可行方案,建立一个为中亚天然气管道进行全面风险管理服务的定量分析体系架构,迫在眉睫。中亚天然气管道的运行安全是关系到国家能源安全、经济发展和国际政治关系的大事,影响深远。中亚天然气管道建设、运营中面临的风险错综复杂、多种多样。这些风险分布广泛,随机性强,预测难度大。如何全面监测、识别各类风险,科学精准评估分析,及时预警、有效应对,是
It is imminent to discuss the feasibility of using quantitative risk analysis in the management of natural gas pipeline in Central Asia and to establish a quantitative analysis system for comprehensive risk management of natural gas pipeline in Central Asia. The operational safety of the natural gas pipeline in Central Asia is a major event that has an impact on the country’s energy security, economic development and international political relations and has far-reaching implications. The risks facing the construction and operation of Central Asia natural gas pipeline are complex and varied. These risks are widely distributed, highly random and difficult to predict. How to comprehensively monitor and identify all kinds of risks, scientific and accurate assessment and analysis, timely warning, effective response, is