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目的为制定年度AIDS抗病毒药品计划提供依据,以保证治疗工作的持续开展。方法年度药品总费用(万元/年)=年内接受治疗的规模人数×单位费用×年治疗覆盖率。结果到2010年底,预计接受一线药物治疗人数2561人,一线药物治疗的单位费用2547.3元/人年,如年治疗覆盖率达到85%,全省一线药品的总费用为652.36万元/年;预计接受二线药物治疗人数196人,二线药物治疗的单位费用6982.6元/人年,如年治疗覆盖率达到50%,全省二线药品的总费用为136.86万元/年。结论影响药品需求预测结果的主要因素包括年内在治人数、年内新增治疗人数、药品价格、年治疗覆盖率等,需要定期收集和更新相关参数。
Objectives To provide a basis for the development of an annual AIDS antiviral drug program to ensure the continuation of treatment. Method Annual total cost of drugs (million / year) = the number of people receiving treatment × unit cost × year treatment coverage. Results By the end of 2010, the number of patients receiving first-line drug treatment is expected to be 2,561, the unit cost of first-line drug treatment is 2,547.3 yuan per person year, and the annual treatment coverage rate will reach 85%. The total cost of first-line drugs in the province will be 6,523,600 yuan per year. The number of patients receiving second-line drug therapy is 196, the unit cost of second-line drug treatment is 6982.6 yuan / person, and the annual treatment coverage rate reaches 50%. The total cost of the second-line medicine in the province is 1,368,800 yuan / year. Conclusion The main factors influencing the prediction of demand for medicines include the number of people undergoing medical treatment during the year, the number of newly-added patients during the year, the price of medicines and the annual treatment coverage. Relevant parameters need to be regularly collected and updated.