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受春节因素和油价上调影响,机构普遍预测2月我国居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比涨幅将超过3%。如果这一预测与实际结果相符,这将是时隔8个月后我国物价涨幅再一次迈入3%到5%的温和通货膨胀区域。多方分析认为,尽管上半年物价上涨压力不大,但是下半年物价涨势可能加快。甚至有经济学者认为,物价加速回升将在下半年影响宏观调控政策取向。
Affected by the Spring Festival and rising oil prices, the agency generally predicts that the consumer price index (CPI) in China will rise more than 3% YoY in February. If this prediction is in line with the actual result, it will be another moderate inflation rate of 3% to 5% after the price rise in our country after an interval of eight months. Multi-party analysis believes that despite the pressure in the first half of price increases is not big, but the second half of the price increase may accelerate. Some economists even think that an accelerated rebound in prices will affect the macro-control policy in the second half of the year.