不要将“新常态”庸俗化、泛化对于下一步经济发展趋势如何,内部讨论有不同见解。有的论者比较乐观,认为中国未来仍能够实现8%左右的经济增长;有的比较悲观,认为主流对形势判断有误,距离“出现危机不是很远”;我个人的观点是:“衰退性风险已现,系统性风险可控”。我们不能掩盖衰退这个事实,当然,近期内也不会爆发危机。这里,我重点对流行的“新常态”这个命题谈一点看法。“新常态”的概念已经在中央经济工作会议被作为一个正式理念提出。据我溯源,这个 Do not make the “new normal” vulgar and generalized have different opinions on the next economic development trend and internal discussions. Some commentators are optimistic that China can still achieve an economic growth of about 8% in the future; some are more pessimistic and think that the mainstream is wrong in judging the situation and not far from being in a crisis. My personal opinion is: “Degenerative risk has now, systematic risk control ”. We can not hide the fact of recession, of course, there will be no crisis in the near future. Here, I focus on the prevailing “new normal” one point of view on the proposition. The concept of “new normal” has been put forward as a formal concept at the Central Economic Work Conference. According to my source, this