Influences of uncertainties to the generation feasible region for medium- and long-term electricity

来源 :全球能源互联网(英文) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:bvf
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
For the implementation of power market in China, medium- and long-term security checks are essential for bilateral transactions, of which the electricity quantity that constitutes the generation feasible region (GFR) is the target. However, uncertainties from load forecasting errors and transmission contingencies are threats to medium- and long-term electricity trading in terms of their influences on the GFR. In this paper, we present a graphic distortion pattern in a typical three-generator system using the Monte Carlo method and projection theory based on security constrained economic dispatch. The underlying potential risk to GFR from uncertainties is clearly visualized, and their impact characteristics are discussed. A case study on detailed GFR distortion was included to demonstrate the effectiveness of this visualization model. The result implies that a small uncertainty could distort the GFR to a remarkable extent and that different line-contingency precipitates disparate the GFR distortion patterns, thereby eliciting great emphasis on load forecasting and line reliability in electricity transactions.
其他文献
1952年革命后,埃及的现实主义电影盛行。这一时期,最具意识和最有能力的导演发挥的作用越来越明显,如萨拉哈·艾布·萨伊夫、隗菲克·萨利赫、尤素夫·沙辛、辛
作者从1990年10至1991年9月对武汉港白浒山港区进行了鼠类密度季节消长、种群组成及分布和鼠类携带抗原情况调查。该港区鼠密度粉迹法0.63%,ELTON夹夜法5.3%,鼠种群组成为2目3
  Objective To report the clinical result and experience of distally based neucrocutaneous vasotrophic island flap in leg.Methods designed a distally based is
会议
Due to the shortage of fossil energy and the pollution caused by combustion of fossil fuels, the proportion of renewable energy in power systems is gradually in
在本应自然天性的年龄,被捧上了名媛才女的神坛,如此,即便千种风情、万丝性灵,却也只能被惊吓得躲在木讷的外壳之中 In the age of natural instincts, was put on the alta
An industrial park is one of the typical energy consumption schemes in power systems owing to the heavy industrial loads and their abilities to respond to elect
  在头颈癌的个案,很多时候会遇到非常复杂的病例,尤其是接受过电疗的病人。在肿瘤切割和重整的手术,目的是要确保肿瘤完全清除,随后重建令病人恢复功能和有一个满意的外观。在