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一、我国经济发展阶段的基本判断。按改进的 TOPSIS法分析和判断,我们认为我国经济发展已走完了工业化前准备时期和工业化初期,现已跨人工业化中期阶段,并且已经达到工业化发展加速时期的交界区间。由于改革前我国产业结构一直实行“逆霍夫曼定理”战略,呈现出不同于一般发展中国家的第二产业超前特征。我国产值结构早已进入工业化较高阶段,就业结构和城市化水平却严重滞后于产值结构,构成我国工业化过程中独特的深层断裂现象。说明我国进入工业化中期阶段的产业结构调整尚未最后完成,产业结构高级化的潜能仍处于酝酿阶段,产业结构变动的本质飞跃还未真正开始。从城乡居民消费水平比(3.5)和第一产业与第二产业比较劳动生产率(5.72)指标看,我国经济的二元结构特征还相当显著。虽然多数人的生活水
First, China’s economic development stage of the basic judgments. According to the analysis and judgment of the improved TOPSIS method, we think that the economic development of our country has gone through the preparatory period for industrialization and the initial stage of industrialization and is now at the mid-stage of cross-industrialization and has reached the junction of the accelerated period of industrialization. Since the industrial structure in our country before the reform has always been put into practice, the anti-Hoffman theorem has shown the advanced features of the secondary industry that are different from the general developing countries. China’s output structure has long been in the higher stage of industrialization, but the employment structure and urbanization level have lagged behind the output structure seriously and constitute a unique deep-seated fracture in China’s industrialization. This shows that the industrial restructuring in our mid-stage of industrialization has not yet been finalized. The potential for the advancement of the industrial structure is still at a brewing stage. The essential leap in the industrial structure has not really begun yet. In terms of the level of consumption of urban and rural residents (3.5) and the comparative labor productivity of primary industry and secondary industry (5.72), the dualistic structure of China’s economy is still quite remarkable. Although most people live in water