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目的了解山东省济南市2009—2012年人口及疾病负担,为制定卫生规划,合理分配卫生资源提供依据。方法采用Excel 2003编制简略寿命表及去死因寿命表,使用SPSS 13.0和Excel 2003对人口学特征、人口负担系数、疾病负担指标进行分析。结果 2009—2012年老年人口系数为:男性7.99%~8.19%、女性10.22%~10.29%,少年儿童人口系数为:男童14.02%~16.54%、女童13.24%~15.61%,老少比为:男性49.17%~57.47%、女性65.90%~77.60%;男性总负担系数基本上呈现下降的趋势(32.02%~29.36%),而女性却显示出上升的趋势(24.32%~30.73%);期望寿命呈现上升趋势,期望寿命延长2.39岁,其中男性延长2.21岁,女性延长2.23岁;对居民工作损失和社会价值影响最大的均为恶性肿瘤,而对居民家庭损失影响最大的为伤害。结论随着居民寿命的增加,老龄化问题日益严重,应将意外死亡和恶性肿瘤作为疾控防治工作的重点。
Objective To understand the population and disease burden from 2009 to 2012 in Jinan City, Shandong Province, and provide the basis for formulating health planning and rational distribution of health resources. Methods Using Excel 2003 to prepare a simple life table and death to death table, demographic characteristics, population burden coefficient and disease burden index were analyzed by using SPSS 13.0 and Excel 2003. Results The coefficients of the elderly population from 2009 to 2012 ranged from 7.99% to 8.19% for males and from 10.22% to 10.29% for females. The population coefficients of children and adolescents ranged from 14.02% to 16.54% for boys and 13.24% to 15.61% for girls, 49.17% -57.47%, and women 65.90% -77.60%. The total burden of men showed a downward trend (32.02% ~ 29.36%), while women showed an upward trend (24.32% ~ 30.73%), and their life expectancy The life expectancy is 2.39 years old, including 2.21 years for males and 2.23 years for females. Malignancies, which have the greatest impact on the loss of work and social values of residents, are the most harmful to household loss. Conclusion With the increase of residents’ life expectancy, the problem of aging is getting worse day by day. Accidental death and malignant tumors should be the focus of disease control and prevention work.