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应用灰色系统理论,通过对万安水库移民收入现状的灰色关联度分析,得出移民收入影响因子的定量结果。结果表明,各因子对移民收入的影响大小依次为:耕地面积,务农人数,教育水平,外出打工率,农产品生产价格指数,生产消费支出,粮食产量,非农收入。基于此,讨论了产生这种结果的原因,并提出促进移民增收的相关建议,同时对万安水库移民安置区剩余的后扶期间的可持续发展进行预测,得出其呈一种良性发展趋势的结论。
By using the gray system theory, through the gray correlation analysis of the current status quo of the Wan’an Reservoir’s resettlement income, the quantitative results of the impact factors of the resettlement income are obtained. The results show that the factors affecting the immigrant income are as follows: cultivated land area, number of peasants, education level, working-rate, agricultural production price index, production and consumption expenditure, grain output and non-farm income. Based on this, the reasons for this result are discussed and some suggestions are put forward to promote the income increase of immigrants. Meanwhile, the prediction of the sustainable development during the remaining after-help period of Wan’an Reservoir Resettlement Area shows that it has a positive development trend Conclusion.