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1970年,系统动力学创建者福瑞斯特教授设计出了世界模型,之后其年轻助手梅多斯受罗马俱乐部委托,联合一批年轻的科学家在世界模型基础之上写出了震惊世界的《增长的极限》一书,引发了世界范围内关于人类前途的大争论,这也促成了之后“可持续发展”理念的诞生及其发展。本文将对World3模型进行解读,使之更容易被人所理解,将World3与其背后的系统动力学理论普及到更广的人群之中。
In 1970, the system dynamics founder Professor Frieste designed the world model, after which his young assistant Meadows entrusted by the Rome Club, a group of young scientists based on the model of the world wrote a shock to the world’s “ The Limits to Growth, ”sparked a worldwide controversy over the future of mankind, which led to the birth of the concept of“ sustainable development ”and its development. This article will interpret the World3 model to make it easier to understand and extend World3 and its underlying theory of system dynamics to a wider audience.