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近期,日本内阁府发布《日本2016—2020财年经济与财政改革基本政策》(以下简称“日本2016—2020五年期财经政策”),内容包括日本经济现状与挑战分析、日本中长期改革措施、日本经济财政综合改革框架等。在安倍“旧三支箭”作用下,日本经济短期复苏取得进展,但仍面临亟待进行结构改革的巨大挑战;日本大规模财政刺激和财政改革政策效应继续递减,将继续加剧其财政失衡。本文就日本2016—2020五年期财经政策主要内容进行分析,并提出几点思考。
Recently, the Cabinet Office of Japan released the “Japan’s Basic Policy on Economic and Financial Reform for 2016-2020 Fiscal Year” (hereinafter referred to as the “Japan’s 2016-2020 Fiscal Policy”), including analysis of Japan’s economic situation and challenges, the medium- and long-term Reform measures, Japan’s economic and financial comprehensive reform framework. Under the influence of Abe and the “old three arrows,” Japan has made some progress in short-term economic recovery, but it still faces the enormous challenge of structural reform that is urgently needed. Japan’s massive fiscal stimulus and fiscal reform policies continue to diminish and will continue to aggravate its fiscal imbalance . This article analyzes the main contents of Japan’s five-year fiscal policy in 2016-2020 and puts forward some thoughts.