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本文设计了基于生产函数和神经网络的多主体仿真经济系统,建立了利率政策仿真模型,对比分析了规则性与相机性利率政策对宏观经济的影响.模型设计了企业的存贷款规则及中央银行的利率规则,通过模拟相机性与规则性利率政策下宏观经济的不同特性,对比分析了两种政策的适用场景.发现规则性的利率政策有助于使经济平稳,而相机性的利率政策虽然可能提升经济状况,也会带来较大风险。最后结合我国现阶段新常态的宏观经济形式,对利率政策的实施提出了建议。
In this paper, a multi-agent simulation economic system based on production function and neural network is designed and a simulation model of interest rate policy is established to analyze the macroeconomic impact of regularity and camera interest rate policy.Model designed the enterprise deposit and loan rules and the Central Bank By comparing the different characteristics of the macroeconomy under the camera-based and the rule-based interest rates, we compare the application scenarios of the two policies.It is found that the regular interest rate policy helps to make the economy stable while the camera-based interest rate policy May raise the economic status, but also bring greater risk. Finally, according to the macroeconomic form of the new normal in our country at the present stage, some suggestions are put forward for the implementation of the interest rate policy.