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本文对2012年前8个月我国总体消费形势及波动特征进行了回顾,分析了我国现阶段消费需求的特征及影响因素,认为在当前汽车销量增速下滑、食品消费价格上涨、消费者满意指数不断走低的背景下,伴随着住房市场回暖及保障房的陆续交付使用,建材装潢材料及家具市场将保持上涨,2012年第四季度我国消费需求仍将处于上涨过程,但增幅缩小。政府可以通过持续提高低收入群体收入水平、扩大服务性消费、提高社会保障水平、营造良好的消费环境等方式,鼓励居民健康、适度、合理地消费。
This article reviews the general consumption situation and fluctuation characteristics in China in the first eight months of 2012, analyzes the characteristics and influencing factors of current consumer demand in our country, and concludes that at the current slowdown of automobile sales, the rising of food consumption prices, the consumer satisfaction index Continued to decline in the background, with the housing market rebound and the protection of the succession of delivery of housing, building materials and furniture materials will continue to rise, in the fourth quarter of 2012, China’s consumer demand will remain in the process of rising, but the increase narrowed. The government can encourage residents to consume healthily, moderately and rationally by continuously raising the income level of low-income groups, expanding service consumption, raising the level of social security and creating a favorable consumption environment.