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本文着重分析了贸易救济措施对我国油料产业保护的有效性,试图为保护国内脆弱油料产业的贸易救济实践提供理论上的支持。通过协整检验和ATPSM模型的计量分析方法,分别从短期和长期两方面分析了实施贸易救济措施对我国油料产业安全的影响。结果表明,贸易救济措施能在一定程度上起到对国内油料产业的保护作用,但要从根本上解决贸易竞争力弱、生产自给率低等制约我国油料产业发展的问题,在保持公平国际竞争环境的同时,还要创造一个良好的国内支持环境。
This article analyzes the effectiveness of trade remedy measures for the protection of China’s oil industry and attempts to provide theoretical support for the trade remedy practice of the fragile domestic oil industry. Through the cointegration test and the measurement analysis method of ATPSM model, the author analyzes the impact of the implementation of trade remedy measures on the safety of China’s oil industry from the short-term and long-term respectively. The results show that the trade remedy measures can play a protective role to the domestic oil industry to a certain extent. However, it is necessary to fundamentally solve the problem that the trade competitiveness is weak and the production self-sufficiency rate restricts the development of China’s oil industry. While maintaining fair international competition Environment at the same time, but also create a good domestic support environment.