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本文使用2001-2013年197个经济体制成品数据和98个经济体服务贸易数据,测算了我国制成品和服务贸易的进口技术复杂度,在单位根检验和协整分析的基础上建立VAR模型,运用脉冲响应函数和方差分解分析就二者的经济增长效应做了实证比较研究。结果发现:我国制成品和服务贸易进口技术复杂度的提升均对经济增长显示出正向驱动效应;相比制成品而言,我国服务贸易进口技术复杂度的提升所展现出的经济增长效应更强,其对经济增长的贡献度更大。
This article estimates the technical complexity of import of finished goods and service trade from 197 economic goods manufactures in 2001-2013 and 98 trade data of service trade in our country and establishes VAR model based on unit root test and cointegration analysis , Using the impulse response function and analysis of variance decomposition of the economic growth effect of the two done an empirical comparison. The results show that: the enhancement of technical complexity of China’s imports of manufactured goods and services shows a positive driving effect on economic growth; compared with manufactured goods, the economic growth demonstrated by the increase in the technical complexity of China’s import of service trade The effect is stronger and its contribution to economic growth is even greater.