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新年伊始,国际国内主要金融市场走势不佳,出乎意料。股市、汇市均大幅波动,尤其是牵涉面颇广的国际油价,在此前已经绵绵下跌之后,于今年开市后继续大幅下滑,十几个交易日内就跌去两威多,并跌破30美元/桶的关口,过去18个月累计跌幅已经达到75%。其实。不管是股市、汇市,还是油市,走势均取决于各方对未来的预期,包括对地缘政治的判断、对经济形势的预测、对相关政策的预判等。能否给市场投资者以良好预期,至关重要。
At the beginning of the new year, the major financial markets in the world and at home were not moving well unexpectedly. In the stock market and foreign exchange market, the international oil prices fluctuated widely. In particular, the international oil price, which has a wide range of implications, has continued to drop sharply after the market plunged this year. It dropped more than TWO in more than a dozen trading days and dropped below 30 US dollars / Barrel mark, the cumulative decline over the past 18 months has reached 75%. in fact. Regardless of the stock market, foreign exchange market or the oil market, the trend depends on the expectations of the parties on the future, including judgments on geopolitics, forecasts on the economic situation, and pre-judgment on relevant policies. Whether to give good expectations to market investors is crucial.