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本文以上海为主要对象，分析我国发达地区城市就业中的非体力劳动就业机会上升的趋势，并对其社会影响作基本判断。改革开放以后，上海迅速由工业生产基地向经济中心城市转化。这个转化过程对就业市场最重要的影响，是产业工人群体的萎缩，而非体力劳动就业者群体规模迅速扩大。非体力劳动就业者特别是其中的中高层管理人员，市场地位优越，社会影响力逐步强化，对整个社会的消费潮流演化和价值观念转变，都将产生重要影响。我国加入ＷＴＯ后，发达地区的城市现代服务业将加快发展，非体力劳动就业者上升的趋势将更加强化，将在很大程度上影响社会基本结构的演变。
Taking Shanghai as the main object, this paper analyzes the rising trend of employment opportunities for non-manual labor in urban areas in developed areas and makes a basic judgment on its social impact. After the reform and opening up, Shanghai quickly transformed from an industrial production base to an economic center city. The most important impact of the conversion process on the job market is the shrinking of the industrial worker population, while the size of the non-manual labor force population is rapidly expanding. Non-manual workers, especially middle and high-ranking management personnel, have superior market position and gradually strengthened social influence, which will have an important impact on the evolution of the consumer trend and the change of values in the entire society. After China’s accession to the WTO, urban modern service industries in developed areas will accelerate their development. The upward trend of non-manual workers will be further strengthened and will largely affect the evolution of the basic social structure.