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目的评估2017年6月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果根据既往传染病和突发公共卫生事件监测数据,预计6月全国报告事件数和病例数将较5月有所下降,事件类别主要以发生在学校的水痘、手足口病、流行性腮腺炎、其他感染性腹泻病等为主。预计6月仍将继续出现人感染H7N9禽流感散发病例,发病强度仍可能高于往年同期,不排除出现该亚型禽流感聚集性病例以及人感染其他亚型动物流感病毒病例的可能。近期我国仍有可能出现登革热、寨卡病毒病、黄热病等蚊媒传染病的输入性病例,存在输入后发生本地传播的可能。手足口病仍将处于高发季节。食物中毒事件将会增多,以微生物性食物中毒为主。结论 2017年6月我国的突发公共卫生事件及传染病疫情发生态势与往年相似,将较5月有所下降;需关注人感染禽流感、蚊媒传染病、手足口病、霍乱等传染病疫情及食物中毒引发的公共卫生风险。
Objective To assess the public health emergencies at home and abroad in June 2017 and the need to pay attention to the risk of infectious diseases. Methods According to the reports of domestic and foreign public health emergencies and the monitoring of key infectious diseases, the expert consultation method was adopted to invite experts from provincial (municipalities and autonomous regions) CDC to participate in the assessment through video conferencing. Results Based on the monitoring data of previous infectious diseases and public health emergencies, the number of nationally reported incidents and cases in June is expected to decline from May. The incident types mainly include chickenpox, hand-foot-mouth disease and mumps in schools , Other infectious diarrhea and other mainly. It is estimated that the human cases of H7N9 avian influenza will continue to occur in June and the intensity of the outbreak may still be higher than in the same period of previous years. This may not rule out the possibility of aggregation of this subtype of bird flu and human infection of other subtype avian influenza virus cases. Recently, there may still be imported cases of mosquito-borne infectious diseases such as dengue fever, Zika virus disease and yellow fever disease in our country, and the possibility of local transmission after the importation may exist. Hand, foot and mouth disease will still be in high season. Food poisoning will increase, with microbial food poisoning based. Conclusions In June 2017, the outbreak of public health emergencies and infectious diseases in China was similar to that in previous years, and will be lower than that in May. People should be concerned about infectious diseases such as bird flu, mosquito-borne diseases, hand-foot-mouth disease and cholera Epidemics and public health risks from food poisoning.