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目的调查估计邯郸市男性同性恋人群规模,分析影响评估结果的因素。方法结合乘数法和捕获-再捕获法对邯郸市男性同性恋活动场所进行调查估计。结果计算得出男性同性恋人群为1 453人,95%可信区间为(1 227,1 681)。结论捕获-再捕获法和乘数法都是比较可行的对男同性恋人群进行规模估计的间接方法。用时短,花费低,适合在卫生资源有限的情况下进行艾滋病高危人群的规模估计。
Objective To investigate and estimate the scale of male homosexuality in Handan City and analyze the factors influencing the assessment results. Methods The method of multiplicative method and capture - recapture were used to investigate the homosexuality in Handan. Results The number of male homosexuals was calculated to be 1 453 with a 95% confidence interval (1 227,1 681). Conclusions Both capture-recapture and multiplier methods are more feasible indirect methods of estimating the size of gay men. Time-consuming, low-cost, suitable for the scale of health-care resources in the case of high-risk population estimates.