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从时间和控制因子两个角度 ,初步探讨了蒋家沟流域产沙预测模型。结果表明 ,由周期预测和控制因子预测组成的综合预测模型 ,可对蒋家沟泥石流的输沙进行较为可靠的预测。同时 ,在探讨了模型存在的及有待改进的问题的基础上 ,还对综合预测模型进行了探讨。
From the two aspects of time and control factors, the sediment yield prediction model in Jiangjiagou watershed is preliminarily discussed. The results show that the comprehensive prediction model composed of the prediction of period and the control factor can predict the sediment transport in Jiangjiagou debris flow more reliably. At the same time, on the basis of discussing the existing problems of the model and the problems to be improved, the comprehensive forecasting model is also discussed.