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近期,国内丙烯腈市场行情跌势连连,价格由7月的19700元/吨下滑至目前的13300元/吨,整体跌幅接近6500元/吨,超过30%,创2010年以来最低价位。在利空气氛持续打压下,市场信心缺失,笔者认为下调步伐可能仍将延续。2011年,吉林石化旗下年产45.2万吨的4条丙烯腈生产线基本处于可运行状态,虽然开工尚未达到满负荷,但是在6月中上旬前其装置开工3条生产线,对外现货供应较比去年同期增加,后期受产销滞缓以及库存压力制约,装置曾在7月下旬以及9月下旬进行过轮流检修任务;抚顺石化旗下年产5.5万吨的腈纶装置自今年3月初停车后,至10月20日一直没有启动,
Recently, the domestic acrylonitrile market decline again and again, the price from July’s 19,700 yuan / ton, down to the current 13,300 yuan / ton, the overall decline of nearly 6,500 yuan / ton, more than 30%, the lowest since 2010 record. Continued to suppress the bearish atmosphere, lack of confidence in the market, I believe that the pace of decline may continue. In 2011, Jilin Petrochemical’s annual output of 452,000 tons of four acrylonitrile production line in the basic running status, although the commencement has not yet reached full load, but in mid-June before the beginning of its installation of three production lines, external stock than last year In the same period, the plant was delayed by production and sales as well as pressured by inventory pressure. Installations took turns in turn over and inspection in late July and late September. Fushun Petrochemical’s 55,000 tons / year of acrylic plant was stopped from early March this year to October 20 has not started,