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目的:分析人口年龄结构对我国居民医疗保健支出的影响。方法:计算空间关联度莫兰指数,构建空间面板计量模型。结果:居民医疗健康支出存在显著的空间相关性,抚养系数均加剧居民的医疗健康支出,但是,老年抚养系数的作用大于少儿抚养系数。结论:我国人口年龄结构变化加剧了医疗保健支出,政府应保证基础医疗保健服务公益性的同时,提高医疗保健服务的多元化。
Objective: To analyze the influence of population age structure on health care expenditure of residents in our country. Methods: The Moran index of spatial correlation was calculated to construct the spatial panel econometric model. Results: There was a significant spatial correlation between residents ’health care expenditures and their dependency factors, which all exacerbated residents’ health care expenditures. However, the effect of elderly dependency factors was greater than that of children. Conclusion: The change of population age structure in our country exacerbates the expenditure on health care. The government should ensure the public welfare of basic health care services and at the same time improve the diversification of health care services.