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文章应用投入产出法建立一个测算中澳两国进出口贸易隐含碳排放的模型,分别运用双区域和单区域投入产出表估算两国贸易商品的碳排放系数,并采用两国近10年的进出口贸易数据,测算中澳贸易隐含碳排放量及其对中国“碳排放”的净影响。研究发现,以2007年为分界点,中国在中澳贸易中由隐含碳的净出口国转变为隐含碳净进口国;这意味着中国通过中澳贸易向其转移了碳排放,即中澳双边贸易有利于中国经济“节能减排”、向低碳发展模式转型。文章最后分析了中澳贸易隐含碳排放的失衡度,从行业的角度进一步论证了上述变化的原因;并阐述了本研究的政策意义。
The article uses the input-output method to establish a model to measure the implicit carbon emissions of the import and export trade between China and Australia. The dual-region and single-region input-output tables are respectively used to estimate the carbon emission coefficients of trade commodities between the two countries. Year import and export trade data to measure the implied carbon emissions of China-Australia trade and its net impact on China’s carbon emissions. The study found that with 2007 as the cut-off point, China shifted from a net exporter of implicit carbon to an implicit net importer of carbon in China-Australia trade; this meant that China shifted its carbon emissions to China through Australia’s trade, namely China Bilateral trade between Australia and Australia will benefit China’s economy, “save energy and reduce emissions” and transform itself into a low-carbon development mode. Finally, the article analyzes the unbalance degree of the implied carbon emissions of Sino-Australian trade, and further demonstrates the reasons of the above changes from the perspective of industry; and expounds the policy significance of this study.