人类社会正处在由工业社会向后工业社会过渡的关键历史时期,这一时期的基本特征是社会的高度复杂性和高度不确定性。该特征使得事物的时间性、周期性日益突出。公共政策系统在受到人类认知能力的客观有限性、政策制定主体的主观意识以及政策环境的复杂多变等因素的影响下,政策终结成为了保持整个系统动态循环的关键节点。高度复杂性和不确定性条件下,政策终结研究朝着实践层面、个体性层面以及多元化视角层面发展的过程,既体现出公共政策科学的自我完善,同时也是后工业化进程中公共管理实践所带来的现实要求。 Human society is in a crucial historic period of transition from an industrial society to a backward industrial society. The basic characteristic of this period is the highly complex and highly uncertain society. This feature makes things time, cyclical increasingly prominent. Public policy system is influenced by the objective limitation of human cognition ability, the subjective consciousness of policy-making subject and the complex and changeable policy environment. The end of policy has become the key node to keep the whole system dynamic cycle. Under the conditions of high complexity and uncertainty, the end of the policy toward the practical, the individual and the diversified perspectives of policy development not only reflects the self-improvement of public policy science but also the practice of public administration in the process of post-industrialization Bring the real requirements.