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地下经济作为未被官方GDP进行记录并施以赋税的经济活动的总和,其规模在全球大多数国家中呈不断扩大趋势。近年来中国地下经济也在经济市场化进程中悄无声息的发展。本文采用现金比率法对我国1980年到2002年地下经济规模进行了测算,并在此基础上分析了地下经济对整个国民经济体系诸多方面的影响:对GDP的影响,对财政收入的影响,对收入分配的影响,以及对社会信息系统的影响。
As the sum of economic activity recorded as underground and not taxed by the official GDP, the underground economy is expanding in size in most countries around the world. In recent years, China’s underground economy has also been quietly developing in the process of economic marketization. In this paper, we use the cash ratio method to measure the underground economy in our country from 1980 to 2002, and on this basis we analyze the effects of the underground economy on many aspects of the national economy as a whole: the impact on GDP and the impact on fiscal revenue, The impact of income distribution, and the impact on social information systems.