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3月份,由于橡胶进口激增,市场新增资源增长明显加快,加之国际市场受中东、北非局势动荡影响,除原油和黄金以外的大宗商品价格大幅下跌,国内天然橡胶价格高位震荡,小幅回落。后市随着云南、海南陆续开割,国内天然橡胶供应预期将逐步增加,但短期之内橡胶供应仍处于青黄不接,预计4月份现货市场价格仍维持坚挺,呈现高位震荡走势。但5月份以后,随着海南和云南产胶逐步恢复正常,产量将陆续上升,加之东南亚产区也将逐步进入割胶季节等,价格将面临回调。
In March, due to the surge in rubber imports, the growth of new natural resources in the market accelerated noticeably. In addition, the international market was affected by the turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa. The prices of bulk commodities excluding crude oil and gold dropped sharply. The domestic natural rubber prices fluctuated slightly and dropped slightly. With the market outlook in Yunnan and Hainan one after another cut, the domestic natural rubber supply is expected to gradually increase, but the rubber supply in the short term is still in the yellow, the spot market in April is expected to remain firm, showing the trend of high turmoil. However, with the gradual return of normal production of rubber in Hainan and Yunnan after May, the output will gradually increase. In addition, the producing areas in Southeast Asia will also gradually enter the tapping season and the prices will face a correction.