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海峡两岸经济关系发展至今,其成效在中观(产业)层面已经得到充分显现,而在宏观层面却仍然失之模糊,尚未取得学界共识。这既受限于两岸经贸交流研究的传统涵盖范畴的有限性,同时又会制约该领域进一步的理论拓展,导致无法对两岸经济关系发展的客观路径形成清晰认识,也无助于对未来两岸经济的制度一体化提供结构性的设计思路。对于如何在宏观层面有效呈现两岸经济关系的发展成效,一种可行的选择是基于对两岸宏观经济体系的供求结构特征的考察,归纳和提炼两岸经济周期协动性的一系列典型事实,从中揭示经由两岸经贸交流所形成的两岸经济相互依存的现实状况。
Since the development of economic relations between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, its effectiveness has been fully manifested at the medium-sized (industrial) level. However, it still remains vague at the macro level and no academic consensus has yet been reached. This is not only limited by the limited traditional coverage of cross-Strait economic and trade exchanges, but also restricts further theoretical expansion in this area, leading to the inability to clearly understand the objective path for the development of cross-Strait economic relations and will not help the future development of cross-Strait economy System integration to provide structural design ideas. A viable option for how to effectively present the development effectiveness of cross-Strait economic relations at a macro level is to reveal a series of typical facts on the cross-Strait economic cycle synergies based on the examination of the structural features of the supply and demand of cross-Strait macroeconomic systems Cross-Strait economic and interdependence formed by the cross-Strait economic interdependence of the reality.