论文部分内容阅读
美国未来经济增长的前景如何?美国的精英们也为之殚精竭虑,纠结万分。2012年中国的外贸形势如何呢?一言以概之:严峻。两个关键点在于:外部需求不足,内部生产成本上升。相对于年度的展望,我们更倾向于在较长期的框架内审视中国对外贸易的未来。原因很简单,从中国出口的供给与需求看,跨年度的分析更加具有根本性。美国对中国出口商品的需求基本来自于其国内外国
What are the future prospects of U.S. economic growth? The elites in the United States have also been extremely timid and tangled. How about China’s foreign trade situation in 2012? In a nutshell: severe. Two key points are: lack of external demand, internal production costs rise. Compared with the annual outlook, we prefer to examine the future of China’s foreign trade in the longer term. The reason is very simple. Judging from the supply and demand of China’s exports, the analysis on a cross-year basis is more fundamental. The U.S. demand for Chinese exports basically comes from its domestic and foreign countries