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5%未来十年中国经济增速将继续逐渐放缓至一个可持续的中高速水平—5%左右,并维持相当长时期的中高速增长,在此过程中,消费率(消费占GDP比重)上升将成为一个重要的宏观结构调整趋势。点评:随着中国人均资本存量与发达国家的差距日渐缩小,固定资产投资增速将逐渐放缓,并导致GDP增长放缓,但消费的放缓幅度要低于投资,因此消费占GDP比例上升。同时,总人口
5% In the next 10 years, China’s economic growth will continue to gradually slow down to about -5% at a sustainable high-speed level and will maintain medium- and high-speed growth for a fairly long period of time. During this period, the consumption rate (the share of GDP in consumption) Rising will be an important macro-structural adjustment trend. Comment: As the gap between China’s per capita capital stock and developed countries shrinks, the growth of investment in fixed assets will gradually slow down and lead to a slowdown in GDP growth. However, the slowdown in consumption will be lower than that of investment, so the share of GDP in consumption will increase . At the same time, the total population