扩张进人了第十个年头的美国经济似乎已到强弩之末。连“新经济”的最初倡导者《商业周刊》经济编辑迈克尔·曼德尔也在疾呼“正在到来的因特网萧条”。他认为,如果2000年年初股市已到巅峰的话,再有两年或略多一点时间美国经济就会出现急剧滑坡。在美国,更多的议论是,经济能否出现像美联储所希望的既能抑制通货膨胀又能避免衰退的“软着陆”。有人断言“硬着陆”的可能增大。也有人说这将是一场比“软着陆”略逊一筹的“颠簸着陆”。总之,与此前相当普遍 The U.S. economy, which expanded into the tenth year, seems to have taken a leap forward. Even Michael Merrill, economic editor of BusinessWeek, the first advocate of “new economy,” was saying “the coming Internet slump.” He believes that if the stock market peaked in early 2000, the U.S. economy will see a sharp decline in two years or a little more time. In the United States, more talk is about whether the economy will emerge as a “soft landing” that the Fed hopes will curb inflation and prevent a recession. Some people assert that “hard landing” may increase. Others say it will be a “jolting landing” that is slightly less than “soft landing.” In short, quite common before