二○○○年宏观经济的八大特征

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国家统计局新闻发言人叶震指出2000年宏观经济运行的八个特征是: 第一,经济发展的均衡性和稳定性增强。今年GDP增长幅度波动较小,一季度为8.1%,二季度为8.3%,三季度为8.2%,第四季度可能会低一些,但大体上都在8%左右,波动不大,全年GDP总额将超过1万亿美元,依当前汇率,按购买力平价计算,人均GDP肯定会超过800美元,第二战略目标完全可以实现。 第二,社会供给出现新的变化。工业生产的快速发展是推动经济回升的重要力量,1—3季度工业增加值增长11.5%,是近年少有的现象,估计全年工业对GDP的推动作用在七成以上。第三产业增长加快,除了产品产值的增加,交通运输、金融、保险、证券、通信等服务业盈利水平上升。农业有增有减,今年粮食歉收 Ye Zhen, spokesman for the State Statistics Bureau, pointed out that the eight characteristics of the macroeconomic operation in 2000 are as follows: First, the balance and stability of economic development have been enhanced. This year’s GDP growth rate fluctuation is small, 8.1% in the first quarter, 8.3% in the second quarter, the third quarter was 8.2%, the fourth quarter may be lower, but in general about 8%, little fluctuation, the annual GDP The total amount will exceed 1 trillion U.S. dollars. According to the current exchange rate and PPP terms, GDP per capita will certainly exceed 800 U.S. dollars and the second strategic goal can be achieved. Second, new changes have taken place in the social supply. The rapid development of industrial production is an important force for economic recovery. The industrial added value increased by 11.5% in the first three quarters of the year, which is a rare phenomenon in recent years. It is estimated that the promotion effect of industry on GDP will exceed 70% in the whole year. The tertiary industry accelerated its growth. In addition to the increase in the output value of its products, the profitability of such service industries as transportation, finance, insurance, securities and telecommunications increased. Agriculture has increased or decreased, this year’s food failure
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