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京津冀经济的健康发展是京津冀协同发展重大战略实施的重要保障。文中对京津冀2002-2015年间经济非均衡发展状况进行综合测算,运用泰尔指数的三区域分解以及基尼系数的三次产业分解方法对京津冀经济发展的非均衡特征进行了实证分析,并在证实京津冀经济发展存在空间相关性之后采用空间计量模型揭示了京津冀经济非均衡发展的内在来源。研究结果表明:京津冀经济的非均衡发展由各地在产业结构、投资水平、财政收入以及人口规模等方面的差异导致。根据研究结果提出建立京津冀统一指挥协调机构以及点面结合推进京津冀协同发展的政策建议。
The healthy economic development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is an important guarantee for the implementation of the grand strategy of the coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. This paper makes a comprehensive assessment of the unbalanced economic development in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei from 2002 to 2015. By using the three-area decomposition of Theil index and the three industrial decomposition methods of Gini coefficient, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the unbalanced features of the economic development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei After confirming the spatial correlation of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei economic development, the spatial econometric model was used to reveal the intrinsic source of the unbalanced economic development in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. The results show that the unbalanced economic development in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is caused by the differences in industrial structure, investment level, fiscal revenue and population size. According to the results of the study, this paper proposes the establishment of a unified command and coordination mechanism in Beijing, Tianjin and Ji and the policy recommendations on promoting the coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Ji by combining the advantages and disadvantages.