随着煤炭市场化进程的加快,煤炭价格回归理性的预期将会增加。对于火力发电集团的个体,仍然存在重点煤和市场煤之分,这就需要结合发电企业煤炭构成实际情况,重点从国内年度重点煤数量、国内市场煤数量、进口煤数量对发电企业煤炭采购成本进行统计模拟分析,建立煤炭价格与这些变量的回归模型,从而实现对企业未来煤炭价格的预测。 With the acceleration of the marketization of coal, the expected return of coal prices to rationality will increase. For the individual thermal power generation group, there is still the division of key coal and market coal, which needs to be combined with the actual situation of coal-fired power generation companies, focusing on the number of key domestic coal mines, the domestic market, the number of imported coal, coal procurement costs for power generation enterprises Conduct statistical simulation analysis, establish a regression model of coal prices and these variables, in order to achieve the forecast of the future coal prices of enterprises.