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从总体上看,2007/2008年度国内小麦供给比较充裕。据国家农业部预计,2007/2008年度(当年6月至下年5月)国内小麦产量略有增长。消费总量较上年度略增,其中食用消费基本平稳,受国内畜牧业发展、部分地区玉米价格高于小麦价格以及生物能源加工需求的影响,小麦的饲料消费和工业消费增长较多。预计本年度国内小麦供应能满足需求,全社会小麦期末库存较上年度小幅增加。从目前的市场影响因素看,近期的市场也略显偏空。一是进入10月份,国家托
Overall, domestic wheat supply is abundant in 2007/2008. According to the estimation of the Ministry of Agriculture, the domestic wheat production in 2007/08 (from June to next May) slightly increased. Total consumption increased slightly from the previous year, of which consumption was basically stable. Due to the development of domestic animal husbandry and the higher maize prices in some regions than the price of wheat and the demand for bioenergy processing, feed consumption and industrial consumption of wheat increased more. It is estimated that domestic wheat supply will meet the demand this year, and the ending stocks of wheat in the whole society will slightly increase as compared with the previous year. From the current market factors, the recent market is also slightly bearish. First, into October, the state care