阐述了客观分析方法在技术预测和技术预见活动中的重要作用。首先对技术预见和技术预测的方法进行了回顾和评述,并分析了两种活动存在的不足,然后提出了客观分析方法及其构成,最后阐述了如何在技术预见和技术预测活动中采用客观分析方法以提高技术预见(预测)的科学性和准确性。 The important role of objective analysis in technical forecasting and technical foresight activities is expounded. First of all, the methods of technical foresight and technical predictions are reviewed and reviewed, and the shortcomings of the two activities are analyzed. Then, the objective analysis method and its composition are put forward. Finally, how to adopt the objective analysis in technical foresight and technical forecasting activities Method to improve the science forecasted (predictive) science and accuracy.