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本文基于2004-2013年“一带一路”沿线国家的面板数据,采用空间计量实证分析方法引入空间效应,对“一带一路”沿线国家经济绝对β收敛和条件β收敛进行实证分析。研究发现“一带一路”沿线国家经济存在着绝对β收敛和条件β收敛,并且存在显著的空间相关性,在引入空间效应后,可以小幅度提高“一带一路”沿线国家经济β收敛和条件β收敛速度,但是效果并不明显。因此,在推动“一带一路”战略,要注重经济地理重塑,发展空间集聚效应,有助于提升亚洲国家经济收敛速度,增加一体化效应。
Based on the panel data of countries along the “Belt and Road” from 2004 to 2013, spatial analysis is used to introduce the spatial effect and empirical analysis of absolute β convergence and conditional β convergence in the countries along the “Belt and Road”. The results show that there exists an absolute β convergence and a conditional β convergence in the national economies along the “Belt and Road”, and there is a significant spatial correlation. After introducing the spatial effect, the economic convergence in the countries along the “Belt and a Road” And conditional β convergence rate, but the effect is not obvious. Therefore, in promoting the “Belt and Road” strategy, attention should be paid to the effect of economic geography remodeling and development of space agglomeration, which will help speed up the economic convergence in Asian countries and increase the integration effect.