“十五”时期会有很多的变化,但大的趋势应该是三个。第一大趋势是增长格局从数量型扩张转向追求质量和效益。这方面朱总理在“十五”报告说的非常清楚,而且最关键的指标是 GDP 的增长率从8%下调到7%。实际上中国经济增长的潜力会大大超过8%,这是毫无疑问的。中国有很高的储蓄率,储蓄转化为投资、国内地区之间的巨大差别、消费者的需要、体制的变革,都会导致中国经济完全有可能达到8.5%的水平。那么为什么把比较高的潜力调低到7%呢?这是为了创造一种预期,使大家更多地追求效益和质量, There will be many changes during the “Tenth Five-Year Plan” period, but the major trend should be three. The first major trend is the shift in the growth pattern from quantitative expansion to the pursuit of quality and efficiency. In this regard, Premier Zhu’s report on the “10th Five-Year Plan” is very clear and the most crucial indicator is that the growth rate of GDP will be reduced from 8% to 7%. In fact, the potential for economic growth in China will greatly exceed 8%. This is without doubt. China has a very high savings rate, savings into investment, huge differences between regions, consumer needs and institutional changes, all of which will make it entirely possible for the Chinese economy to reach the level of 8.5%. Then why lowered the relatively high potential to 7%? This is to create an expectation so that everyone will pursue more benefits and quality,