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从整体上看,1999年的股市和1998年一样,仍然会维持平衡市的局面,股指会在一个特定的箱体内上下波动。大致波动区间,以沪市为例,可能会在1000—1300点之间。市场的主流热点可能是重组和基建两大板块。 重组板块 从1996年以来一直被提倡并已被市场所普遍接受的崇尚业绩、中长线投资绩优股的投资理念,在1998年似乎不用那么管用了,一些被冠以资产重组名义的垃圾股却被炒上了天。上市公司1998年的中期业绩比1997年同期下降了20％多。为激活市场、维护市场,通过其他非上市公司或上市公司之间的资产重级、收购兼并,以外延式增长来使企业脱胎换骨,获得新的发展动力的方式就应运而生。另外,从整个国家的资源优化配置的角度看,资产重组也有很大的必要性。目前,上市公司的资产重组正在向纵深发展。
Overall, the stock market in 1999, like in 1998, will still maintain a balanced market and the index will fluctuate within a specific box. Rough trading range, the Shanghai stock market, for example, may be between 1000-1300. The hot market may be the mainstream of reorganization and infrastructure of the two plates. The reorganization plate has been advocated since 1996 and has been widely accepted by the market. The investment concept of mid- to long-term investment blue chip stocks did not seem to be so effective in 1998. Some rubbish stocks under the name of asset restructuring have been fired Days The interim results of listed companies in 1998 dropped more than 20% from the same period in 1997. In order to activate the market, maintain the market, reorganization of assets, mergers and acquisitions between other unlisted companies and listed companies, and the way of extending growth to make enterprises reborn and acquire new impetus for development, emerge. In addition, from the perspective of the optimal allocation of resources throughout the country, asset restructuring is also of great necessity. At present, the reorganization of assets of listed companies is developing in depth.