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随着经济的发展,虚拟经济逐渐体现出对实体经济的双重影响,即一方面对实体经济的发展起着促进作用,一方面又由于虚拟经济的过度膨胀形成泡沫经济破坏了实体经济的稳定性,就如2008年美国的次贷危机所引起的金融危机给世界经济造成了巨大的危害。从中国近三十年的发展来看,虚拟经济与实体经济发展速度的背离处于长期扩大的状态,这种状态会使国民经济发生动荡,降低资源配置效率,阻碍实体经济发展,形成泡沫经济。本文研究中引入广义货币供给量M2、国内生产总值GDP、上证综合指数和金融相关率FIR等指标对虚拟经济与实体经济进行对比,并针对近几年我国现有情况,提出建议。
With economic development, the fictitious economy gradually reflects the double impact on the real economy, that is, on the one hand, it plays a catalytic role in the development of the real economy; on the other hand, the bubble economy undermines the stability of the real economy due to the over-expansion of the fictitious economy Just as the financial crisis caused by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States in 2008 has caused tremendous damage to the world economy. From the perspective of the development of China in the past 30 years, the departure from the speed of development of the virtual economy and the real economy is in a state of long-term expansion. Such a situation will cause turmoil in the national economy, reduce the efficiency of resource allocation, hinder the development of the real economy and create a bubble economy. In this paper, we introduce the indexes of broad money supply M2, gross domestic product GDP, Shanghai Composite Index and financial correlation rate FIR to compare the virtual economy with the real economy, and put forward some suggestions according to the current situation in our country in recent years.