论文部分内容阅读
本文利用全国31个省的粮食作物面板数据,构建静态和动态面板计量模型,对2007年中央财政农业保险保费补贴政策实施前后两阶段进行比较分析,研究农业保险保费补贴对农户参保行为和农户生产行为的影响,以及对种植结构的传导机制。实证结果表明,在农险财政补贴下,农业保险需求与农业种植结构之间存在着相互制约关系,传导机制为农险财政补贴激励农户参保行为,并引发种植结构调整影响农业保险需求;农户参保后农业收入水平预期发生改变,对农户生产行为产生影响,又反过来引发种植结构调整。在农险财政补贴下,农业保险对粮食作物收入起到稳定作用,一定程度上固化了农户生产行为和种植结构,并引发种植结构从低保险项目向高保险项目转移。
Based on the panel data of grain crops in 31 provinces of China, this paper constructs static and dynamic panel measurement models and compares the two stages before and after the implementation of the central government’s agricultural insurance premium subsidy policy in 2007 to study the effect of agricultural insurance premium subsidy on the farmers’ The impact of production behavior, and the transmission mechanism to the planting structure. The empirical results show that there is a mutual restraint relationship between agricultural insurance demand and agricultural planting structure under the financial subsidies of agriculture and insurance. The transmission mechanism encourages farmer households’ insured behavior for the financial subsidies of agriculture and insurance, and causes the adjustment of planting structure to affect the agricultural insurance demand. After the insured agricultural income level is expected to change, affecting farmers’ production behavior, which in turn led to the planting structure adjustment. Under the financial subsidies of agriculture and insurance, agricultural insurance played a stabilizing role in the income of grain crops, to a certain extent, solidified the peasant households’ production behavior and planting structure and triggered the transfer of planting structure from low-insurance items to high-insurance items.