文中首先简述北京雾霾天气的成因、及其时空分布特点,分析近年来北京入境旅游发展特点。其次,在对北京雾霾天气及其治理、入境旅游业发展分析的基础上计算出北京市雾霾天气与入境旅游相关系数为-0.77。第三,以2004~2012年为时间序列选择北京8个主要客源国(地)构建面板数据采用计量经济学方法验证了雾霾天气对北京入境旅游的具体影响。结果表明:雾霾天气是显著影响北京市入境旅游规模变动的因素,在控制控制个体效应的情况下雾霾天气因素能够解释北京市入境旅游规模20%的变化;雾霾天气因素每变动1%,北京入境旅游相应地绝对地变动25.41万人次。雾霾天气对北京市入境旅游规模影响具有延期效应,并随时间推移影响效应呈现倒“U”型,滞后两年的大气污染对本年度入境旅游规模影响效果最大。 The article first briefly describes the causes of Beijing hazy weather and its temporal and spatial distribution characteristics, analyzes the characteristics of Beijing’s inbound tourism development in recent years. Secondly, based on the analysis of Beijing hazy weather and its governance and inbound tourism development, the correlation coefficient between haze and inbound tourism in Beijing is calculated to be -0.77. Thirdly, using panel data from eight major tourist sources in Beijing for time series from 2004 to 2012, the econometric method was used to verify the specific impact of foggy haze on inbound tourism in Beijing. The results show that the foggy and hazy weather is a factor that significantly affects the inbound tourism scale change in Beijing. The smoggy weather factor can explain the change of 20% of the inbound tourism scale in Beijing under the control of individual effects. The haze and weather factors change by 1% , Beijing inbound tourism accordingly changes 254100 people. The smoggy weather has an extension effect on the inbound tourism scale in Beijing and shows a “U” type effect over time. The air pollution lagged by two years has the greatest effect on the inbound tourism scale of this year.