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2015年美国主导的TPP谈判成功结束,是近年来全球贸易治理领域的标志性事件,对未来贸易和投资自由化的发展具有重大潜在影响。然而由于工作机会外流以及收入分配不均衡现象加剧,美国国内反对TPP的声音日益成为主流,奥巴马政府被迫宣布在任内放弃推动TPP,新当选的特朗普更声明将退出TPP。TPP搁浅是美国对外经济战略和亚太区域战略的重大转折,尽管其前景仍未完全确定,但在近期将有助于弱化美国“竞争性自由化”和亚太“再平衡”战略的实施,同时有助于我国争取未来亚太乃至全球经贸规则的主导权。我国政府应抓住这一有利的战略机遇期,在亚太地区努力推广具有“中国元素、中国智慧和中国经验”的国际贸易新规则,改变亚太地区经贸协定碎片化格局。
The successful conclusion of the US-led TPP negotiations in 2015 is a landmark event in global trade governance in recent years and has a significant potential impact on the future development of trade and investment liberalization. However, due to job openings and imbalances in income distribution, the voice of domestic opposition to TPP in the United States has become increasingly mainstream. The Obama administration was forced to announce the renunciation of TPP during its tenure. The newly elected Trump further stated that it would withdraw from the TPP. Stranded in the TPP is a major turning point in the United States foreign economic strategy and its strategy for the Asia-Pacific region. Although its prospects have not yet been fully defined, it will help weaken the U.S. “competitive liberalization” and the “rebalancing” strategy in the Asia-Pacific region in the near future Implementation, at the same time help our country for the future Asia-Pacific and even the global economic and trade rules domination. The Chinese government should seize this favorable period of strategic opportunities and work hard in the Asia Pacific region to promote the new rules of international trade that have “China’s elements, China’s wisdom and China’s experience,” and change the fragmentation pattern of economic and trade agreements in the Asia-Pacific region.