论文部分内容阅读
耕地休耕是实现中国“藏粮于地,藏粮于技”战略措施的重要举措。农户作为耕地休耕的直接执行者与受益主体,合理引导不同类型农户参与耕地休耕有利于耕地休耕制度试点的稳妥推进。本文基于河北省邢台市农户调查数据,在农户类型划分基础上辨析不同类型农户的耕地休耕意愿,并运用Logistic回归模型定量分析不同类型农户耕地休耕意愿的影响因素,据此提出针对性的建议。研究表明:邢台市农户兼业行为较为普遍,农户对耕地休耕的意愿较强,但不同类型农户对耕地休耕意愿有所差异,且影响因素包括共同因素和差异性因素两类。共同影响因素包括年龄、小麦库存是否充足及休耕补助核算方式满意度;纯农业型农户受抚养未成年数量、农业劳动力数量、其他收入比例及村干部态度等差异性因素影响,且抚养未成年数量影响程度最为显著;Ⅰ兼农业型农户休耕意愿受耕地质量、灌溉难易程度、所在村乡镇企业数量及村庄距离集镇远近等差异性因素影响;Ⅱ兼农业型农户休耕意愿的差异性影响因素包括非农务工收入比例、地块破碎度及灌溉难易程度;耕地是否转出是影响非农业型农户耕地休耕意愿的差异性因素。
Cultivated land fallow is an important measure to realize China’s strategic policy of “storing grain at the land and storing grain in technology”. Farmers, as the direct executors and beneficiaries of cultivated land fallow, should reasonably guide the different types of farmers to participate in the fallowing of arable land and promote the pilot projects of arable land fallow. Based on the survey data of households in Xingtai City of Hebei Province, this paper analyzes the willingness of farmland fallow of different types of farmers based on the classification of farmers and uses Logistic regression model to quantitatively analyze the influencing factors of different types of farmers’ willingness to land fallow, and puts forward specific suggestions. The research shows that the farmers in Xingtai City are more and more engaged in intergenerational activities. Farmers’ willingness to fallow on cultivated land is stronger, but different types of farmers have different preferences on the fallow of cultivated land, and the influencing factors include two kinds of common factors and different factors. The common influencing factors include the age, the adequacy of wheat stocks and the satisfaction of the fallow subsidy accounting method; the difference of factors such as the number of dependent minorities, the number of agricultural laborers, the proportion of other income and the attitudes of village cadres, and the number of minor dependents The degree of influence is the most significant; (1) The willingness of the fallow of agro-based farming households is affected by the quality of cultivated land, the degree of irrigation difficulty, the number of township and village enterprises in the village and the distance between the village and the market town; (2) The proportion of non-farm laborers, the fragmentation of plots and the difficulty of irrigation. Whether cultivated land is transferred out is the difference factor that affects the willingness of the non-agricultural rural households to fallow.