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随着医院科学化管理的不断提高,统计工作不仅要完成日常的工作,而且还应对未来进行预测,以便及时准确地为医院管理、制定计划等提供可靠的科学依据。现将我院1985～1990年的门诊工作量,采用定量预测方法,预测我院今后三年的门诊工作量,仅为领导制定计划,按排人员,分配物资等方面起个参考作用,同时也在医院统计预测方面作一点尝试。 1 资料与方法:①资料来自我院1985～1990年门诊工作量年报表(取日平均门诊量),详见下附表。②方法根据一元线性回归基本公式Y=a+bX,计算出b(3.04)和a
With the continuous improvement of the scientific management of hospitals, the statistical work not only needs to complete the daily work, but also makes predictions in the future so as to provide a reliable scientific basis for hospital management and planning in a timely and accurate manner. The outpatient workload of our hospital from 1985 to 1990, using quantitative prediction methods, predicts the outpatient workload of our hospital for the next three years. It is only for the leadership to formulate plans, and it serves as a reference for arranging personnel and distributing materials. Make a little attempt at statistical prediction in the hospital. 1 Materials and Methods: 1 Data from the annual report of outpatient workload in our hospital from 1985 to 1990 (take the average daily outpatient amount). See the attached table for details. 2 Methods Calculate b (3.04) and a from the basic linear regression formula Y=a+bX.