世界银行新近发表的《1999财年中国国家经济报告》表示,在正常情况下,今年中国经济能达到7％左右的增长。 但是,“正常情况”受到一些不确定因素的影响。一个不确定的主要因素是,到目前为止所实施的刺激性的宏观经济政策能在多大程度上激活国内经济,特别是居民消费和非国有企业投资。另一个不确定因素是全球经济环境。假如全 The World Bank recently released China’s State Economic Report for FY 1999, saying that under normal circumstances, China’s economy will grow by about 7% this year. However, “normal conditions” are affected by some uncertainties. One of the major uncertainties is the extent to which stimulus macroeconomic policies implemented so far have activated the domestic economy, especially consumer spending and non-state investment. Another uncertainty is the global economic environment. If all