一、对当前经济形势的基本判断总的来看:经济急速下滑的势头明显解缓,一季度有可能成为本轮经济周期的阶段性底部,但真正企稳回升还尚需时日。去年四季度以来,中央及时调整宏观经济政策导向,制定并出台了一揽子刺激经济增长的政策措施,各地各部门认真贯彻中央的决策部署。今年一季度,经济运行中出现了一定的积极因素,主要表现在:一是固定资产投资增长较快。随着去年四季度和今年新增中央政府投资项目的迅速开工和建设,对促进投资较快增长发挥了积极作用。一季度,全社会固定资 I. Basic Judgment on the Current Economic Situation In general, the momentum of rapid economic slowdown has obviously slowed down. It is possible that the first quarter will become the staged bottom of the current round of economic cycle. However, it still takes time to stabilize and rebound. Since the fourth quarter of last year, the Central Government adjusted its macroeconomic policy guidance in time and formulated and promulgated a package of policies and measures to stimulate economic growth. All localities and departments have conscientiously implemented the decision-making arrangements made by the Central Government. In the first quarter of this year, some positive factors appeared in the economic operation, mainly in the following aspects: First, investment in fixed assets grew rapidly. With the rapid start-up and construction of newly-added central government investment projects in the fourth quarter of last year and this year, it has played a positive role in promoting the rapid growth of investment. In the first quarter, the whole society fixed capital