目前,农作物病虫害的统计预报工作发展很快,既应用于病虫的发生预报,也应用于为害程度的预测;既有相关回归分祈法,也有各种简便方法。并且逐步走向统计预报与常规测报相结合,互相取长补短,进一步提高了测报水平。对于如何提高统计预报的效果,本文提出如下探讨意见,供各地测报站讨论、参考。 At present, the statistical forecast of crop diseases and insect pests is developing rapidly, which is applied both to the prediction of pests and diseases as well as to the prediction of the degree of damage. There are both regression-based methods and simple methods. And gradually to the combination of statistical forecasting and conventional forecasting, complement each other to further enhance the level of reporting. As for how to improve the effect of statistical forecasting, this paper puts forward the following opinions for discussion and reference at measuring stations around.